Alpaca Finance - Alpies NFT sale Oct 19 10pm GMT+8 In this thread, we'll do a break-even analysis, calculating how much most leveraged yield farmers can expect to earn from an Alpie's 50% max leverage boost & comparing that to an Alpie's cost

2021.10.19 19:23 AlpacaFinance Alpaca Finance - Alpies NFT sale Oct 19 10pm GMT+8 In this thread, we'll do a break-even analysis, calculating how much most leveraged yield farmers can expect to earn from an Alpie's 50% max leverage boost & comparing that to an Alpie's cost

Alpaca Finance - Alpies NFT sale Oct 19 10pm GMT+8 In this thread, we'll do a break-even analysis, calculating how much most leveraged yield farmers can expect to earn from an Alpie's 50% max leverage boost & comparing that to an Alpie's cost Alpaca Finance - Alpies NFT sale Oct 19 10pm GMT+8 @AlpacaFinance In this thread, we'll do a break-even analysis, calculating how much most leveraged yield farmers can expect to earn from an Alpie's 50% max leverage boost & comparing that to an Alpie's cost.
From an on-chain snapshot on 10/14, the above two pools had a total of 1040 positions and an average equity value of 185.4 BNB The avg APR of the 2 pools at max 3x leverage is currently 74.64% and the avg APY 111% https://app.alpacafinance.org/farm Now let's calculate a 50% boost

https://preview.redd.it/oikfagizxfu71.png?width=464&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5eea7a636dccb5ec9f863b1e2d1ab6581d77386
A 50% boost to max leverage would turn 3x->4.5x. That means the components of APR would become: (adjusted from avg of two pools) YF: 51.84->77.76 TR: 52.39->78.59 AR: 9.18->16.07 (1x not counted) Borrowing Interest: -38.78 -> -67.87(1x not counted) Total APR: 74.64 -> 104.55
https://preview.redd.it/vth634m1yfu71.png?width=498&format=png&auto=webp&s=f741762167abb9994b236d25f142998322261799
An APR of 104.55, with daily compounding, equals 184.06% APY (https://aprtoapy.com) This is an increase of 73.06% APY over the previous 3x avg of 111% That means given an avg equity value of 185.4 BNB, the avg farmer will earn an extra 135.45 BNB/year.
With avg profits of 135.45, it's clear the vast majority of farmers will earn much more owning an Alpie compared to a cost of 8.88 BNB Yet, we can also calculate what is the break-even equity value for a farmer if buying an Alpie at 8.88 BNB.
Let X = equity value 2.11 = equity value after 1 year at 3x 111% avg APY 2.8406 = equity value after 1 year at 4.5x 184.06% APY 2.8406X - 2.11X = 8.88 BNB .7306X = 8.88 BNB X = 12.15 BNB The break-even point for buying an Alpie at 8.88 BNB is 12.15 BNB equity value.
With avg equity value being 185.4 BNB, it's clear the vast majority of farmers will earn much greater profits from owning an Alpie. That's without mentioning that many users have more than onr position and 1 Alpie will boost all of them.

https://preview.redd.it/p8ikhzl8yfu71.png?width=888&format=png&auto=webp&s=291ff922c550f5f873fdf4bd6dd36cce15630d25
Though higher APYs are appealing, users should note that higher leverage comes with a higher chance of liquidation. So you should still be sure to choose your positions well and manage price movements with alerts. Learn more about liquidation here: https://t.co/VLPdsPj5Po?amp=1

https://preview.redd.it/8opnuaheyfu71.png?width=745&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ed87eb1c474c25a71e5076acc1252f20a2efadb
A couple final details to add in addendum for some context are that we had ~10k positions during this snapshot, and have over 56k token holders (https://defistation.io)
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